The 2025 Corn Pricing Dilemma [Video]

With futures currently trading near $4.40, 2025 corn prices are not all that attractive. Yet, when compared with the price of soybeans (trading near $10 on November 2025 futures), farmers are considering the idea of planting more corn acres as opposed to soybeans just to pay the bills. Is it a good idea to defend $4.40 when there are two growing seasons (Southern and Northern hemispheres) ahead of final production for 2025? Time will tell. Is there a best tool or strategy to use? We’ll explore several as the calendar flips to a new year.

Unless adverse weather developments occur, the idea of adding 2 or 3 million acres is a bearish outlook for corn prices. If 3 million are added with a yield of 180 bushels, it equates to an increase of 540 million bushels of carryout, assuming no other supply and demand line-item changes. Projected carryout could increase …